The Cars and Motorcycles

The private automobile will be dead by 2025

Lyft cofounder John Zimmer predicts that the private automobile will be dead by 2025 (thanks to Lyft). But he’ll have his work cut out for him. From citylab.com

The private automobile will be dead by 2025?

Lyft cofounder and president John Zimmer is calling it: 2025 is when private car automobile ownership will “all but end” in major American cities.

The private automobile will be dead by 2025

Car or camel?The prospect of Automotive Judgment Day has been much discussed ever since Google proved that fully autonomous motoring was an achievable goal. Once cars don’t need drivers, it quickly follows that they won’t need owners, either. The rise of ride-hailing services such as Uber and Lyft further primed the car-removal machine, acclimating a small-but-growing segment of the population to the idea of relying on other people’s vehicles to get around.

With rival Uber now testing autonomous Volvos in Pittsburgh, Lyft’s Zimmer is offering a specific timetable for this transformation: Within 5 years, the majority of Lyft rides will be driverless. And less than five years after that, the private car will have been essentially eliminated. “By 2025, owning a car will go the way of the DVD,” Zimmer posted in a Medium piece called “The Third Transportation Revolution.”

Zimmer’s Lyft-centric vision of our post-car future, which he also talks about in an interview with Time, will have urbanites purchasing contracts with various mileage limits, akin to cellphone plans. It’s a subscription model at odds with Tesla boss Elon Musk’s similarly grandiose “Master Plan, Part Deux,” which posits that privately owned but fully autonomous Tesla-made vehicles will form an ad-hoc transportation-for-hire service, roving about on their own to pick up passengers and make money for their owners. Not only would this slave-army of cars allow Tesla to keep selling private automobiles, it would lower the ownership threshold, since cars would be helping to earn their keep while their masters are sleeping or at work.
 

 

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